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Home / Markets / Will Kamala Harris concede by midnight?
Resolved market scorecard

Will Kamala Harris concede by midnight? : result and scorecard

Resolved No. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 99.9%; a week before, –. $185K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:17 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

No
resolved November 8, 2024

Price 1 day before

99.9%
Market was confident and right

Price 7 days before

–
30 days before: –

Volume

$185K
1 outcome

KamalaUS ElectionPolitics

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
YesLOST$185K
NoWON$185K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%11-0611-0711-08
Yes
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 100% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris concedes the 2024 US presidential election by November 5, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement which acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2024 US presidential election, will not be the next President, or which acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged, or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession. Any public statement from this candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if his declaration of victory falls outside the markets timeframe. Only public statements from this candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Will Kamala Harris concede by midnight? " resolve?
It resolved No around November 5, 2024.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 99.9% one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$185K across 1 outcome.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.