What are the odds that Will GTA 6 cost $100+?

As of November 6, 2026, Polymarket prices Yes at 0.6% and No at 99.4%, on $461K of total volume.

When does this market resolve?

The market is scheduled to close on March 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.

How much has been traded?

$461K in total and $3K in the last 24 hours, with about $10K of resting liquidity.

Can I trade this market?

Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Home / Markets / Will GTA 6 cost $100+?

Live market data

Will GTA 6 cost $100+?: live odds and probabilities

Name: Will GTA 6 cost $100+? prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

Polymarket traders currently price Yes at 0.6% (-0.1 pts in 24h). $461K has traded on this market.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:00 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Yes probability

0.6%

No 99.4% · Trade →

24h move

-0.1

pts · 7d -0.9

Volume

$461K

24h $3K · liquidity $10K

Closes

March 1, 2027

115 days left

Games GTA VI Culture

All outcomes

Outcome	Probability	24h	7d	Volume	Spread
Yes	0.6%	-0.1	-0.9	$461K	0.2¢
No	99.4%	+0.1	+0.9	$461K	–

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:00 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

Price history

Yes

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the standard edition of Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA 6) launches at $100.00 or more. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the pre-tax launch price in USD of the standard edition of GTA 6 on Xbox or PlayStation as listed on the Microsoft Store or PlayStation Store on the first official day of its release in the United States. If the price differs between the Microsoft and PlayStation stores, this market will resolve according to the lower price. This market will resolve based on the lowest price version that includes the full standard game with no DLC, etc. If GTA 6 is not released or release is otherwise delayed beyond February 28, 2027, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the Microsoft Store/PlayStation Store, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying Yes at 1% risks 1¢ to win 99¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds that Will GTA 6 cost $100+?: As of November 6, 2026, Polymarket prices Yes at 0.6% and No at 99.4%, on $461K of total volume.
When does this market resolve?: The market is scheduled to close on March 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?: $461K in total and $3K in the last 24 hours, with about $10K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?: Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.