Resolved market scorecard
Will Coinbase's TBA app launch before October?: result and scorecard
Resolved Yes. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 73.5%; a week before, 69.5%. $6K traded in total.
Result
Yes
resolved July 28, 2025
Price 1 day before
73.5%
Market leaned the right way
Price 7 days before
69.5%
30 days before: –
Volume
$6K
1 outcome
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| Yes | WON |
| No | LOST |
Price history to resolution
Yes
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.
Scorecard
A market that prices the eventual outcome at 74% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Coinbase's TBA wallet app is available for installation on the US iOS app store by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Pre-Order does not satisfy the market conditions. The primary resolution source will be the US iOS app store, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "Will Coinbase's TBA app launch before October?" resolve?
- It resolved Yes around September 30, 2025.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 73.5% one day before close, 69.5% one week before and – one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $6K across 1 outcome.
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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.