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Home / Markets / Will $ANSEM flip $PUMP by ___?
Live market data

Will $ANSEM flip $PUMP by ___?: live odds and probabilities

The market favorite is December 31, 2027 at 31.5%, ahead of June 30, 2027 at 16.0%. $106K traded across 3 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:14 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

31.5%
December 31, 2027 · Trade →

24h move

+17.0
pts · 7d +20.5

Volume

$106K
24h $30 · liquidity $4K

Closes

January 1, 2028
421 days left

CryptoansemCrypto PricesPrice ComparisonPUMP

All outcomes

OutcomeProbability24h7dVolumeSpread
December 31, 202731.5% +17.0+20.5$14K29.0¢
June 30, 202716.0% -0.5+4.0$6K2.0¢
December 31, 20261.9% 0.0-3.2$86K1.9¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:14 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Price history

0%25%50%75%100%07-0309-0411-06
December 31, 2027June 30, 2027December 31, 2026

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the market capitalization of The Black Bull (ANSEM) surpasses that of Pump.fun (PUMP) according to CoinGecko at any point between market creation and the date specified in the title, timezone ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on CoinGecko's data for each coin, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/the-black-bull and https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/pump-fun, respectively. If CoinGecko stops showing relevant data, data from CoinMarketCap will be used instead.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying December 31, 2027 at 32% risks 32¢ to win 69¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "Will $ANSEM flip $PUMP by ___?"?
As of November 6, 2026, December 31, 2027 is the favorite at 31.5%, followed by June 30, 2027 at 16.0%.
When does this market resolve?
The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2028. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?
$106K in total and $30 in the last 24 hours, with about $4K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?
Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.