Resolved market scorecard
[Single Markets] Republican Nominee 2024: result and scorecard
Resolved Donald Trump. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 99.9%; a week before, 99.2%. $7.6M traded in total.
Result
Donald Trump
resolved July 18, 2024
Price 1 day before
99.9%
Market was confident and right
Price 7 days before
99.2%
30 days before: 97.5%
Volume
$7.6M
14 outcomes
republicansvivek ramaswamy2024 presidential electionPoliticsu.s. 2024 elections
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| Donald Trump | WON |
| Ron DeSantis | LOST |
| Vivek Ramaswamy | LOST |
| Nikki Haley | LOST |
| Tucker Carlson | LOST |
| Mike Pence | LOST |
| Kanye West | LOST |
| Peter Thiel | LOST |
| Joe Rogan | LOST |
| Ben Shapiro | LOST |
| Tim Scott | LOST |
| Glenn Youngkin | LOST |
| Chris Christie | LOST |
| Donald Trump Jr. | LOST |
Price history to resolution
Donald TrumpRon DeSantisVivek RamaswamyNikki Haley
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.
Scorecard
A market that prices the eventual outcome at 100% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.
Resolution rules
This is a market group on The Republican Party nominee for U.S. 2024 Presidential Elections.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "[Single Markets] Republican Nominee 2024" resolve?
- It resolved Donald Trump around September 10, 2024.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 99.9% one day before close, 99.2% one week before and 97.5% one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $7.6M across 14 outcomes.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.