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Home / Markets / Who will be named in newly released Epstein files in 2025?
Resolved market scorecard

Who will be named in newly released Epstein files in 2025?: result and scorecard

Resolved Stephen Colbert. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 99.8%; a week before, 4.4%. $21.8M traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:02 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Stephen Colbert
resolved December 26, 2025

Price 1 day before

99.8%
Market was confident and right

Price 7 days before

4.4%
30 days before: 5.0%

Volume

$21.8M
40 outcomes

EpsteinTrumpTrump Presidencylist

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
Stephen ColbertWON$11.4M
Elon MuskWON$7.9M
Michael JacksonWON$421K
Barack ObamaWON$385K
Ehud BarakWON$179K
Stephen HawkingWON$173K
Joe BidenWON$110K
Chuck SchumerWON$91K
Alexandria Ocasio-CortezWON$87K
Jay-ZWON$77K
Donald TrumpWON$76K
Bill ClintonWON$71K
Prince AndrewWON$66K
Bernie SandersWON$57K
Leonardo DiCaprioWON$36K
Bill GatesWON$35K
Justin TrudeauWON$34K
Larry PageWON$26K
Alec BaldwinWON$25K
David CopperfieldWON$18K
Alan DershowitzWON$16K
Kevin SpaceyWON$16K
Hillary ClintonWON$15K
Tony BlairLOST$80K
Jamie DimonLOST$71K
Oprah WinfreyLOST$51K
Henry KissingerLOST$49K
Al GoreLOST$41K
Tom HanksLOST$34K
Jimmy KimmelLOST$33K
Quentin TarantinoLOST$28K
Sean CombsLOST$17K
David KochLOST$14K
Rachel MaddowLOST$13K
Ellen DegeneresLOST$13K
Anderson CooperLOST$13K
Robert Downey Jr.LOST$13K
Piers MorganLOST$12K
Kirsten GillibrandLOST$10K
Reid HoffmanOPEN$0

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%07-1810-0612-26
Stephen ColbertElon MuskMichael JacksonBarack Obama
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 100% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump Administration (including any federal court) publicly releases previously unreleased files pertaining to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein which contain any mention of the listed individual between July 16 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only previously unreleased files which contain novel material not previously available to the public will qualify. Documents that are merely re-released, have had redactions removed, repackaged, or newly publicized versions of already available information do not qualify. Any mention of the listed individual in connection with Jeffrey Epstein will qualify, regardless of if connected to nefarious or illegal activities. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Who will be named in newly released Epstein files in 2025?" resolve?
It resolved Stephen Colbert around December 31, 2025.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 99.8% one day before close, 4.4% one week before and 5.0% one month before.
How much was traded?
$21.8M across 40 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.