Resolved market scorecard
Which song Taylor Swift's "The Life of a Showgirl" will be lowest rank on the Billboard Hot 100 for the week of October 18?: result and scorecard
Resolved Honey. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 98.9%; a week before, 97.9%. $1.5M traded in total.
Result
Honey
resolved October 14, 2025
Price 1 day before
98.9%
Market was confident and right
Price 7 days before
97.9%
30 days before: –
Volume
$1.5M
13 outcomes
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| Honey | WON |
| The Life of a Showgirl (feat. Sabrina Carpenter) | LOST |
| CANCELLED! | LOST |
| Wood | LOST |
| Actually Romantic | LOST |
| Father Figure | LOST |
| Ruin The Friendship | LOST |
| Eldest Daughter | LOST |
| The Fate of Ophelia | LOST |
| Opalite | LOST |
| Wi$h Li$t | LOST |
| Elizabeth Taylor | LOST |
| Other | LOST |
Price history to resolution
HoneyThe Life of a Showgirl (feat. Sabrina Carpenter)CANCELLED!Wood
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.
Scorecard
A market that prices the eventual outcome at 99% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve based on which track from Taylor Swift’s new album appears as the lowest-ranked song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the week titled “week of October 18, 2025.” If multiple tracks from the album do not appear on the Billboard Hot 100 for that week, this market will resolve to the listed title that is alphabetically first among the tracks not appearing on the Billboard Hot 100 list. The resolution source will be Billboard.com.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "Which song Taylor Swift's "The Life of a Showgirl" will be lowest rank on the Billboard Hot 100 for the week of October 18?" resolve?
- It resolved Honey around October 18, 2025.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 98.9% one day before close, 97.9% one week before and – one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $1.5M across 13 outcomes.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.