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Live market data

Which party will win white voters in the Texas Senate election?: live odds and probabilities

The market favorite is Republicans at 98.9%, ahead of Candidate A at 50.0%. $11K traded across 6 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:03 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

98.9%
Republicans · Trade →

24h move

+0.1
pts · 7d +3.4

Volume

$11K
24h $40 · liquidity $14K

Closes

November 6, 2026
1 days left

PollingMidtermsPoliticsElection NightTexas Senate

All outcomes

OutcomeProbability24h7dVolumeSpread
Republicans98.9% +0.1+3.4$8K1.4¢
Candidate A50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate B50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate C50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Other50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Democrats0.8% 0.0-3.4$3K1.2¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:03 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Price history

0%25%50%75%100%10-3011-0211-06
Republicans

Market rules and resolution

The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of white voters in the 2026 United States Senate election in Texas according to exit polling provided by CNN. This market will resolve according to the exit polling for the 2026 United States Senate election in Texas, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026. In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically. In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below. In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC. If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying Republicans at 99% risks 99¢ to win 1¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "Which party will win white voters in the Texas Senate election?"?
As of November 6, 2026, Republicans is the favorite at 98.9%, followed by Candidate A at 50.0%.
When does this market resolve?
The market is scheduled to close on November 6, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?
$11K in total and $40 in the last 24 hours, with about $14K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?
Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.