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Home / Markets / Anyone charged over Wedgewood fake polls by June 30, 2027?
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Anyone charged over Wedgewood fake polls by June 30, 2027?: live odds and probabilities

Polymarket traders currently price Yes at 50.5% (+1.0 pts in 24h). $743 has traded on this market.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:12 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Yes probability

50.5%
No 49.5% · Trade →

24h move

+1.0
pts · 7d +13.5

Volume

$743
24h $0 · liquidity $217

Closes

July 1, 2027
237 days left

dojCourtsPollingMidtermsPolitics

All outcomes

OutcomeProbability24h7dVolumeSpread
Yes50.5% +1.0+13.5$74347.0¢
No49.5% -1.0-13.5$743–

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:12 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Price history

0%25%50%75%100%10-2310-3011-06
Yes

Market rules and resolution

On October 20, 2026, Wedgewood Polls, a polling firm whose survey results were cited by media outlets and polling aggregators, stated that its published polls had been fabricated as part of what it described as a "social experiment" (see: https://www.pbs.org/newshour/politics/a-company-says-its-polls-were-fake-heres-what-happened). This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of any individual person in direct connection to the fabricated poll results published by Wedgewood Polls, between market creation and June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying Yes at 51% risks 51¢ to win 50¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds that Anyone charged over Wedgewood fake polls by June 30, 2027?
As of November 6, 2026, Polymarket prices Yes at 50.5% and No at 49.5%, on $743 of total volume.
When does this market resolve?
The market is scheduled to close on July 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?
$743 in total and $0 in the last 24 hours, with about $217 of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?
Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.