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Live market data

Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by December 31?: live odds and probabilities

The market favorite is ForecastEx at 20.5%, ahead of ICE at 16.4%. $15K traded across 4 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

20.5%
ForecastEx · Trade →

24h move

0.0
pts · 7d +2.5

Volume

$15K
24h $220 · liquidity $2K

Closes

January 1, 2027
56 days left

CFTCTechBusinessPrediction MarketsRecurring

All outcomes

OutcomeProbability24h7dVolumeSpread
ForecastEx20.5% 0.0+2.5$89619.0¢
ICE16.4% -1.9-1.8$1K21.6¢
CBOE10.0% -11.5-11.0$4K6.0¢
Small Exchange5.0% -1.5-2.0$4K4.0¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Price history

0%25%50%75%100%10-0610-2111-06
ForecastExICECBOESmall Exchange

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying ForecastEx at 21% risks 21¢ to win 80¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by December 31?"?
As of November 6, 2026, ForecastEx is the favorite at 20.5%, followed by ICE at 16.4%.
When does this market resolve?
The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?
$15K in total and $220 in the last 24 hours, with about $2K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?
Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.