When will Ethereum hit $3k?: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is by September 30, 2027 at 61.5%, ahead of by December 31, 2027 at 59.0%. $107K traded across 5 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
CryptoEthereumCrypto PricesPrice Milestone
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| by September 30, 2027 | 61.5% | -4.5 |
| by December 31, 2027 | 59.0% | +13.0 |
| by June 30, 2027 | 53.5% | -7.0 |
| by March 31, 2027 | 35.5% | -15.5 |
| by December 31, 2026 | 15.5% | -9.5 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 02:16 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) from the creation of this market until 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final "High" price equal to or greater than $3,000. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "When will Ethereum hit $3k?"?
- As of November 6, 2026, by September 30, 2027 is the favorite at 61.5%, followed by by December 31, 2027 at 59.0%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2028. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $107K in total and $270 in the last 24 hours, with about $101K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.