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Home / Markets / What will Trump say during Rockland County events?
Resolved market scorecard

What will Trump say during Rockland County events?: result and scorecard

Resolved Transgender. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 67.5%; a week before, –. $958K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:01 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Transgender
resolved May 22, 2026

Price 1 day before

67.5%
Market leaned the right way

Price 7 days before

–
30 days before: –

Volume

$958K
29 outcomes

TrumpMentions

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
TransgenderWON$9K
Six SevenWON$7K
Nuclear 3+ timesWON$7K
Job 7+ timesWON$6K
Fake NewsWON$5K
Border 5+ timesWON$5K
Tax 7+ timesWON$4K
Dumbocrat / Dumocrat / DumacratWON$3K
President XiWON$3K
StupidWON$3K
Scam / FraudWON$2K
No TaxWON$2K
Favored NationWON$2K
Ballroom / PoolWON$2K
401kWON$2K
MAGAWON$2K
Radical LeftWON$1K
Save AmericaWON$1K
250 / 250thLOST$871K
-No Qualifying Event-LOST$5K
AI / Artificial IntelligenceLOST$3K
Barack Hussein ObamaLOST$3K
Zohran / MamdaniLOST$3K
PeanutLOST$2K
Eight WarsLOST$1K
IsraelLOST$1K
Yankee / YankeesLOST$1K
AOC / Ocasio-CortezLOST$1K
Communist / CommunismLOST$763

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%05-2105-2205-23
TransgenderSix SevenNuclear 3+ timesJob 7+ times
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 68% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver remarks in Rockland County at 3PM ET on May 22, 2026 (https://www.lohud.com/story/news/2026/05/20/trumps-rockland-county-visit-what-to-know/90173651007/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during remarks in Rockland County scheduled for May 22, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Trump is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). This market is explicitly about remarks in Rockland County at 3PM ET on May 22, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Frequently asked questions

How did "What will Trump say during Rockland County events?" resolve?
It resolved Transgender around May 22, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 67.5% one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$958K across 29 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.