What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in November 2026?: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is ↓ $4,000 at 79.5%, ahead of ↑ $4,200 at 57.0%. $87K traded across 14 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
FinanceMonthlyHit PriceHide From NewFinance Updown
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| ↓ $4,000 | 79.5% | +27.0 |
| ↑ $4,200 | 57.0% | -20.5 |
| ↓ $3,900 | 45.0% | +12.0 |
| ↑ $4,700 | 38.5% | 0.0 |
| ↑ $4,300 | 33.0% | -15.5 |
| ↓ $3,800 | 24.0% | +8.0 |
| ↑ $4,400 | 17.0% | -12.0 |
| ↓ $3,700 | 11.5% | +2.0 |
| ↑ $4,500 | 10.1% | -5.2 |
| ↓ $3,600 | 6.5% | +0.5 |
| ↑ $4,600 | 5.1% | -1.6 |
| ↓ $3,500 | 2.4% | -1.1 |
| ↓ $3,400 | 2.1% | +0.7 |
| ↓ $3,300 | 0.9% | -0.1 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:01 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in November 2026?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of November 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displ
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in November 2026?"?
- As of November 6, 2026, ↓ $4,000 is the favorite at 79.5%, followed by ↑ $4,200 at 57.0%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on December 1, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $87K in total and $15K in the last 24 hours, with about $233K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.