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Home / Markets / West Bengal Legislative Assembly Election Winner
Resolved market scorecard

West Bengal Legislative Assembly Election Winner: result and scorecard

Resolved BJP. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 51.3%; a week before, 54.2%. $7.0M traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:18 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

BJP
resolved May 4, 2026

Price 1 day before

51.3%
Market was a coin flip

Price 7 days before

54.2%
30 days before: 23.8%

Volume

$7.0M
33 outcomes

IndiaMain ElectionIndian ElectionsWorld ElectionsGlobal Elections

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
BJPWON$2.4M
AITCLOST$2.8M
BGPMLOST$843K
CPILOST$834K
INCLOST$133K
CPI(M)LOST$63K
OtherLOST$0
Party ALOST$0
Party BLOST$0
Party CLOST$0
Party DLOST$0
Party ELOST$0
Party FLOST$0
Party GLOST$0
Party HLOST$0
Party ILOST$0
Party JLOST$0
Party KLOST$0
Party LLOST$0
Party MLOST$0
Party NLOST$0
Party OLOST$0
Party PLOST$0
Party QLOST$0
Party RLOST$0
Party SLOST$0
Party TLOST$0
Party ULOST$0
Party VLOST$0
Party WLOST$0
Party XLOST$0
Party YLOST$0
Party ZLOST$0

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%12-2402-2705-04
BJPAITCBGPMCPI
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 51% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).

Frequently asked questions

How did "West Bengal Legislative Assembly Election Winner" resolve?
It resolved BJP around April 29, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 51.3% one day before close, 54.2% one week before and 23.8% one month before.
How much was traded?
$7.0M across 33 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.