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Live market data

Crude Oil all time high by...?: live odds and probabilities

The market favorite is March 31, 2027 at 20.0%, ahead of December 31 at 8.5%. $5.6M traded across 2 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:18 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

20.0%
March 31, 2027 · Trade →

24h move

+2.0
pts · 7d -7.5

Volume

$5.6M
24h $41K · liquidity $222K

Closes

January 1, 2027
56 days left

OilGeopoliticsCommoditiesFinanceIran

All outcomes

OutcomeProbability24h7dVolumeSpread
March 31, 202720.0% +2.0-7.5$109K2.0¢
December 318.5% +1.0-8.0$2.5M1.0¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 02:18 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Price history

0%25%50%75%100%05-0108-0311-06
March 31, 2027December 31

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day after market creation, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day on or before the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration. This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures. If finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period has not been published on the CME Group website within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the data published through all CME Group channels up to that point.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying March 31, 2027 at 20% risks 20¢ to win 80¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "Crude Oil all time high by...?"?
As of November 6, 2026, March 31, 2027 is the favorite at 20.0%, followed by December 31 at 8.5%.
When does this market resolve?
The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?
$5.6M in total and $41K in the last 24 hours, with about $222K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?
Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.