US files Ilhan Omar denaturalization case by...?: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is March 31 at 14.5%, ahead of December 31 at 10.5%. $52K traded across 2 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
dojPoliticsIlhan OmarUS Politics
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| March 31 | 14.5% | -5.0 |
| December 31 | 10.5% | -1.0 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:21 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, the United States files a civil or criminal action against U.S. Representative Ilhan Omar in any United States federal court that seeks to revoke her naturalized citizenship, or whose success — whether by judgment, conviction, or otherwise — would revoke or require the revocation of her naturalized citizenship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The following will not qualify on their own: a civil or criminal action whose success would neither revoke nor require the revocation of her naturalized citizenship; a referral, an investigation, a subpoena, an executed search warrant, a grand jury proceeding, or a public statement of intent to seek denaturalization by any official. Voluntary dismissal, withdrawal, denial, or any other post-filing development will not affect resolution once a qualifying action has been filed. The primary resolution source will be the public docket of the relevant United States court (accessible via PACER) and/or an official announcement from the U.S. Department of Justice; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "US files Ilhan Omar denaturalization case by...?"?
- As of November 6, 2026, March 31 is the favorite at 14.5%, followed by December 31 at 10.5%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on April 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $52K in total and $1K in the last 24 hours, with about $30K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.