LIVE Hyperliquid whale tracker: the largest open positions and what they are doing, updated every few minutes →
Home / Markets / US files Ilhan Omar denaturalization case by...?
Live market data

US files Ilhan Omar denaturalization case by...?: live odds and probabilities

The market favorite is March 31 at 14.5%, ahead of December 31 at 10.5%. $52K traded across 2 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:21 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

14.5%
March 31 · Trade →

24h move

-5.0
pts · 7d -14.0

Volume

$52K
24h $1K · liquidity $30K

Closes

April 1, 2027
146 days left

dojPoliticsIlhan OmarUS Politics

All outcomes

OutcomeProbability24h7dVolumeSpread
March 3114.5% -5.0-14.0$21K5.0¢
December 3110.5% -1.0-4.0$31K1.0¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:21 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Price history

0%25%50%75%100%10-1510-2611-06
March 31December 31

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, the United States files a civil or criminal action against U.S. Representative Ilhan Omar in any United States federal court that seeks to revoke her naturalized citizenship, or whose success — whether by judgment, conviction, or otherwise — would revoke or require the revocation of her naturalized citizenship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The following will not qualify on their own: a civil or criminal action whose success would neither revoke nor require the revocation of her naturalized citizenship; a referral, an investigation, a subpoena, an executed search warrant, a grand jury proceeding, or a public statement of intent to seek denaturalization by any official. Voluntary dismissal, withdrawal, denial, or any other post-filing development will not affect resolution once a qualifying action has been filed. The primary resolution source will be the public docket of the relevant United States court (accessible via PACER) and/or an official announcement from the U.S. Department of Justice; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying March 31 at 14% risks 14¢ to win 86¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "US files Ilhan Omar denaturalization case by...?"?
As of November 6, 2026, March 31 is the favorite at 14.5%, followed by December 31 at 10.5%.
When does this market resolve?
The market is scheduled to close on April 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?
$52K in total and $1K in the last 24 hours, with about $30K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?
Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.