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Home / Markets / UFC: Will Conor McGregor Fight in 2026?
Resolved market scorecard

UFC: Will Conor McGregor Fight in 2026?: result and scorecard

Resolved Yes. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 99.6%; a week before, 93.2%. $34K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:18 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Yes
resolved July 12, 2026

Price 1 day before

99.6%
Market was confident and right

Price 7 days before

93.2%
30 days before: 87.5%

Volume

$34K
1 outcome

Combat Sportsconor mcgregorSportsmmaUFC

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
YesWON$34K
NoLOST$34K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%05-2006-1507-12
Yes
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 100% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Conor McGregor officially participates in a UFC fight by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Announcements of a fight or participation in exhibitions of any kind will not qualify toward this market’s resolution. Only instances where Conor McGregor officially participates in an official UFC-sanctioned fight will count toward a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

How did "UFC: Will Conor McGregor Fight in 2026?" resolve?
It resolved Yes around January 1, 2027.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 99.6% one day before close, 93.2% one week before and 87.5% one month before.
How much was traded?
$34K across 1 outcome.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.