UEFA Europa League: Team to Finish 9th-24th in League Phase: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is Milan at 84.0%, ahead of Crystal Palace at 81.5%. $78K traded across 36 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
UELSoccerSportsEuropa LeagueHide From New
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Milan | 84.0% | +13.5 |
| Crystal Palace | 81.5% | +13.5 |
| Real Sociedad | 81.0% | +14.0 |
| Dinamo Zagreb | 76.5% | +12.5 |
| AZ | 75.5% | +2.0 |
| Anderlecht | 75.5% | +8.5 |
| TSG Hoffenheim | 74.5% | +3.0 |
| Rennes | 69.0% | -1.5 |
| Levski Sofia | 68.5% | +15.0 |
| Celta Vigo | 67.5% | -14.5 |
| Marseille | 66.0% | +26.5 |
| Lyon | 63.5% | +3.5 |
| Besiktas | 63.0% | +9.0 |
| Sunderland | 62.5% | +23.0 |
| Celje | 55.5% | +33.0 |
| Red Bull Salzburg | 53.5% | -22.0 |
| Sparta Prague | 52.5% | -10.5 |
| Sturm Graz | 52.5% | -23.0 |
| Ararat-Armenia | 52.3% | +37.3 |
| Omonia | 50.5% | -15.5 |
| NEC | 50.5% | -17.0 |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok | 49.5% | +17.0 |
| Hapoel Be'er Sheva | 49.1% | +35.5 |
| OFI | 48.5% | +10.0 |
| Olympiacos | 44.5% | -7.0 |
| Torreense | 36.0% | -5.5 |
| Celtic | 33.5% | +9.0 |
| Union Saint-Gilloise | 33.0% | -32.0 |
| Ferencvaros | 26.0% | -44.5 |
| Bayer Leverkusen | 24.5% | +7.5 |
| Viktoria Plzen | 18.0% | +6.5 |
| Lech Poznan | 18.0% | -10.5 |
| Juventus | 13.0% | -15.5 |
| Bournemouth | 5.5% | -6.6 |
| Benfica | 4.1% | -0.9 |
| Lillestrom | 2.8% | -6.3 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:12 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club finishes 9th through 24th, inclusive, in the final league phase standings of the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only matches played in the league phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League will be considered. Qualifying rounds, the knockout phase play-offs, and all knockout rounds will not be considered. If two or more clubs are level on points, the ranking will be determined according to UEFA's official tie-breaker criteria as published for the competition. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to finish 9th through 24th in the league phase (e.g. they clinch a place in the top 8, or they are mathematically unable to finish above 25th), this market will immediately resolve to "No". If a listed club does not participate in, withdraws from, or is expelled from the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League league phase, its market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League league phase is canceled or is not completed by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "UEFA Europa League: Team to Finish 9th-24th in League Phase"?
- As of November 6, 2026, Milan is the favorite at 84.0%, followed by Crystal Palace at 81.5%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on February 28, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $78K in total and $5K in the last 24 hours, with about $18K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.