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UEFA Europa League: League Phase Winner: live odds and probabilities

The market favorite is Benfica at 52.5%, ahead of Team A at 50.0%. $182K traded across 42 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:12 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

52.5%
Benfica · Trade →

24h move

+2.0
pts · 7d +1.5

Volume

$182K
24h $20K · liquidity $186K

Closes

February 28, 2027
115 days left

UELSoccerSportsEuropa LeagueHide From New

All outcomes

OutcomeProbability24h7dVolumeSpread
Benfica52.5% +2.0+1.5$59K1.0¢
Team A50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Team B50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Team C50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Team D50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Team E50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Other50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Bournemouth36.5% +10.0+13.0$8K1.0¢
Ferencvaros8.5% +8.0+8.0$6K2.6¢
Juventus2.5% -3.5-4.0$8K3.9¢
Union Saint-Gilloise1.8% +0.9-4.0$4K1.5¢
Bayer Leverkusen1.5% -12.5-11.5$6K3.0¢
Olympiacos0.8% -2.2-2.1$5K0.7¢
Hapoel Be'er Sheva0.1% -0.9-4.7$4K0.2¢
Milan0.1% -0.8-1.9$2K0.1¢
Lyon0.1% -2.5-4.0$6K0.1¢
AZ0.1% -0.3-0.2$2K0.1¢
Real Sociedad0.1% -0.1-3.9$2K0.1¢
Marseille0.1% 0.0-0.1$2K0.1¢
Viktoria Plzen0.1% -0.9-2.9$4K0.1¢
Dinamo Zagreb0.1% -0.1-3.2$3K0.1¢
Red Bull Salzburg0.1% 0.0-0.4$2K0.1¢
Celtic0.1% 0.0-0.1$1K0.1¢
Sparta Prague0.1% -0.1-1.1$1K0.1¢
Rennes0.1% -0.1-0.3$3K0.1¢
Anderlecht0.1% -0.1-2.4$4K0.1¢
Sturm Graz0.1% 0.0-0.2$2K0.1¢
Lech Poznan0.1% -0.1-2.5$3K0.1¢
Crystal Palace0.1% -0.3-0.1$3K0.1¢
Sunderland0.1% -2.1-1.2$5K0.1¢
Celje0.1% -0.1-2.4$4K0.1¢
Jagiellonia Bialystok0.1% -0.1-3.5$4K0.1¢
Omonia0.1% -0.4-0.4$4K0.1¢
Celta Vigo0.1% -0.1-1.4$4K0.1¢
TSG Hoffenheim0.1% -0.1-0.2$4K0.1¢
Besiktas0.1% -2.9-0.3$4K0.1¢
Torreense0.1% 0.0-0.1$1K0.1¢
NEC0.1% -2.9-0.1$4K0.1¢
OFI0.1% 0.0-0.2$1K0.1¢
Lillestrom0.1% 0.0-0.2$2K0.1¢
Levski Sofia0.1% -0.9-2.4$4K0.1¢
Ararat-Armenia0.1% 0.0-0.1$1K0.1¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:12 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Price history

0%25%50%75%100%10-0610-2111-06
Benfica

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve according to the team that finishes first in the league phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to finish first in the league phase (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If two or more clubs are level on points, the ranking will be determined according to UEFA's official tie-breaker criteria as published for the competition. If the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League league phase is canceled or not completed by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying Benfica at 53% risks 53¢ to win 48¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "UEFA Europa League: League Phase Winner"?
As of November 6, 2026, Benfica is the favorite at 52.5%, followed by Team A at 50.0%.
When does this market resolve?
The market is scheduled to close on February 28, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?
$182K in total and $20K in the last 24 hours, with about $186K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?
Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.