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UEFA Europa League: Team to advance to 2027 semis: live odds and probabilities

The market favorite is Bournemouth at 55.5%, ahead of Rennes at 53.5%. $8K traded across 13 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:12 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

55.5%
Bournemouth · Trade →

24h move

+22.0
pts · 7d +5.0

Volume

$8K
24h $239 · liquidity $5K

Closes

April 18, 2027
164 days left

UELSoccerSportsEuropa League

All outcomes

OutcomeProbability24h7dVolumeSpread
Bournemouth55.5% +22.0+5.0$307.0¢
Rennes53.5% 0.0+35.0$089.0¢
Juventus51.5% +1.5+17.0$1K7.0¢
Bayer Leverkusen43.5% -10.5-0.5$2K7.0¢
Sunderland26.5% -14.5-11.0$07.0¢
Milan23.5% -6.0-6.0$667.0¢
Crystal Palace22.5% -12.5-27.5$07.0¢
Real Sociedad21.5% -38.5-5.0$107.0¢
TSG Hoffenheim21.0% -3.5-4.0$020.0¢
Marseille16.0% -8.0-1.0$4K6.0¢
Torreense15.5% 0.00.0$027.0¢
Celta Vigo11.5% -37.0-8.5$07.0¢
AZ11.0% -10.5-14.5$014.0¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:12 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Price history

0%25%50%75%100%09-0310-0511-06
BournemouthRennesJuventusBayer Leverkusen

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2027 UEFA Europa League semifinal. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Europa League semifinal (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2027 UEFA Europa League is cancelled, postponed after May 20, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or the 2027 UEFA Europa League semifinal matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying Bournemouth at 56% risks 56¢ to win 44¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "UEFA Europa League: Team to advance to 2027 semis"?
As of November 6, 2026, Bournemouth is the favorite at 55.5%, followed by Rennes at 53.5%.
When does this market resolve?
The market is scheduled to close on April 18, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?
$8K in total and $239 in the last 24 hours, with about $5K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?
Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.