UEFA Conference League: Team to Finish Top 8 in League Phase: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is Monaco at 82.5%, ahead of Twente at 73.0%. $24K traded across 36 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
UECLSoccerSportsHide From NewQualification
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Monaco | 82.5% | +1.5 |
| Twente | 73.0% | +7.5 |
| Lugano | 70.5% | +1.5 |
| Trabzonspor | 62.0% | -3.5 |
| Panathinaikos | 61.5% | +3.5 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | 59.5% | 0.0 |
| SC Freiburg | 57.0% | 0.0 |
| Ajax | 52.5% | +10.5 |
| Copenhagen | 52.5% | -3.0 |
| KuPS Kuopio | 50.3% | +0.4 |
| Midtjylland | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Gent | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Pafos FC | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Lincoln Red Imps | 50.0% | +0.1 |
| Borac Banja Luka | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Sint-Truiden | 50.0% | -2.0 |
| Brann | 50.0% | +1.0 |
| Riga | 50.0% | +2.0 |
| Hajduk Split | 50.0% | -6.5 |
| Jablonec | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Nordsjaelland | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Inter Club d'Escaldes | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| CSKA Sofia | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Kauno Zalgiris | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Egnatia | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Hearts | 49.5% | 0.0 |
| Red Star Belgrade | 49.0% | +1.0 |
| Mjallby AIF | 48.0% | 0.0 |
| Universitatea Craiova | 26.0% | +0.5 |
| Atalanta | 25.0% | -35.0 |
| Braga | 24.0% | -38.0 |
| Getafe | 7.5% | -7.0 |
| Kairat | 5.5% | 0.0 |
| Thun | 5.5% | 0.0 |
| Iberia 1999 | 3.5% | -0.2 |
| AGF Aarhus | 2.9% | +0.1 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:20 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club finishes in the top 8 of the final league phase standings of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only matches played in the league phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League will be considered. Qualifying rounds, the knockout phase play-offs, and all knockout rounds will not be considered. If two or more clubs are level on points, the ranking will be determined according to UEFA's official tie-breaker criteria as published for the competition. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to finish in the top 8 of the league phase (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated from doing so), this market will immediately resolve to "No". If a listed club does not participate in, withdraws from, or is expelled from the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League league phase, its market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League league phase is canceled or is not completed by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "UEFA Conference League: Team to Finish Top 8 in League Phase"?
- As of November 6, 2026, Monaco is the favorite at 82.5%, followed by Twente at 73.0%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on January 31, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $24K in total and $132 in the last 24 hours, with about $4K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.