How did "Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?" resolve?

It resolved No around August 31, 2026.

What did the market predict?

Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 100.0% one day before close, 98.7% one week before and 97.0% one month before.

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Resolved market scorecard

Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?: result and scorecard

Name: Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage? prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

Resolved No. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 100.0%; a week before, 98.7%. $308K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:03 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

resolved July 4, 2026

Price 1 day before

100.0%

Market was confident and right

Price 7 days before

98.7%

30 days before: 97.0%

Volume

$308K

1 outcome

Taylor Swift Culture Music Celebrities

Final prices by outcome

Outcome	Result	Volume
Yes	LOST	$308K
No	WON	$308K

Price history to resolution

Yes

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 100% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Taylor Swift announces that she is pregnant before she announces that she is married to Travis Kelce. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only credible announcements will qualify. Pregnancy or marriage announcements that are not credible, for example jokes, will not suffice. If Taylor Swift does not announce that she is pregnant or married to Travis Kelce by August 31, 2026 ET, or their engagement is otherwise broken off, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be statements from Taylor Swift or her representatives; however, a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be used.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?" resolve?: It resolved No around August 31, 2026.
What did the market predict?: Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 100.0% one day before close, 98.7% one week before and 97.0% one month before.
How much was traded?: $308K across 1 outcome.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.