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Resolved market scorecard

Services Down Parlay: result and scorecard

Resolved No. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 97.8%; a week before, 94.8%. $15K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:07 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

No
resolved June 4, 2026

Price 1 day before

97.8%
Market was confident and right

Price 7 days before

94.8%
30 days before: 98.4%

Volume

$15K
1 outcome

AWSamazonBusinessBig TechTech

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
YesLOST$15K
NoWON$15K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%02-1204-0906-04
Yes
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 98% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - AWS service disrupted - Critical Discord Incident - Critical Cloudflare incident Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Services+Down+Parlay.pdf

Frequently asked questions

How did "Services Down Parlay" resolve?
It resolved No around March 31, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 97.8% one day before close, 94.8% one week before and 98.4% one month before.
How much was traded?
$15K across 1 outcome.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.