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Home / Markets / Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by...?
Resolved market scorecard

Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by...?: result and scorecard

Resolved October 31. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 53.8%; a week before, 74.5%. $2.6M traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:01 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

October 31
resolved October 6, 2026

Price 1 day before

53.8%
Market was a coin flip

Price 7 days before

74.5%
30 days before: –

Volume

$2.6M
7 outcomes

OilIranYemenHouthisPolitics

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
October 31WON$643K
October 15WON$456K
November 30WON$83K
November 15WON$23K
September 30LOST$1.0M
September 22LOST$290K
September 15LOST$106K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%09-1709-2610-06
October 31October 15November 30November 15
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 54% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

On September 11, 2026, Saudi Arabia's Ministry of Energy announced that the East-West oil pipeline has been shut down. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Saudi Arabia announces that the East-West oil pipeline is operational or no longer shut down between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must express that the pipeline is presently operating; operation at partial or reduced capacity qualifies. Announcements that attribute such a claim to third parties, state that the pipeline will or may operate in the future, describe work underway to restore operation, or frame resumption as expected, planned, or conditional, will not qualify. Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent contradictory statements, or alternative information from other sources. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Saudi Arabia.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by...?" resolve?
It resolved October 31 around November 1, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 53.8% one day before close, 74.5% one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$2.6M across 7 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.