Resolved market scorecard
Robinhood larger than Coinbase before 2026?: result and scorecard
Resolved Yes. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 61.5%; a week before, 26.5%. $24K traded in total.
Result
Yes
resolved August 1, 2025
Price 1 day before
61.5%
Market leaned the right way
Price 7 days before
26.5%
30 days before: –
Volume
$24K
1 outcome
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| Yes | WON |
| No | LOST |
Price history to resolution
Yes
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.
Scorecard
A market that prices the eventual outcome at 62% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the market cap of Robinhood is greater than the market cap of Coinbase at anytime between July 10 and December 31, 2025. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "Robinhood larger than Coinbase before 2026?" resolve?
- It resolved Yes around December 31, 2025.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 61.5% one day before close, 26.5% one week before and – one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $24K across 1 outcome.
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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.