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Home / Markets / Florida Governor Republican Primary Winner
Resolved market scorecard

Florida Governor Republican Primary Winner: result and scorecard

Resolved Byron Donalds. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 99.1%; a week before, 98.6%. $9.8M traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:18 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Byron Donalds
resolved August 19, 2026

Price 1 day before

99.1%
Market was confident and right

Price 7 days before

98.6%
30 days before: 96.3%

Volume

$9.8M
23 outcomes

primary electionsGovernor PrimaryRepublican PrimaryFlorida PrimaryAugust 18 Primaries

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
Byron DonaldsWON$1.5M
James FishbackLOST$6.5M
Jay CollinsLOST$1.4M
Casey DeSantisLOST$228K
Wilton SimpsonLOST$83K
Jimmy PatronisLOST$54K
Matt GaetzLOST$53K
Candidate ALOST$0
Candidate BLOST$0
Candidate CLOST$0
Candidate DLOST$0
Candidate ELOST$0
Candidate FLOST$0
Candidate GLOST$0
Candidate HLOST$0
Candidate ILOST$0
Candidate JLOST$0
Candidate KLOST$0
Candidate LLOST$0
Candidate MLOST$0
Candidate NLOST$0
Candidate OLOST$0
OtherLOST$0

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%11-2604-0808-19
Byron DonaldsJames FishbackJay CollinsCasey DeSantis
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 99% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Florida Governor Republican Primary Winner" resolve?
It resolved Byron Donalds around August 18, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 99.1% one day before close, 98.6% one week before and 96.3% one month before.
How much was traded?
$9.8M across 23 outcomes.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.