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Resolved market scorecard

Putin meets with Iranian officials by...?: result and scorecard

Resolved November 15. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 7.5%; a week before, –. $11K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:03 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

November 15
resolved November 5, 2026

Price 1 day before

7.5%
Market was confident and wrong

Price 7 days before

–
30 days before: –

Volume

$11K
2 outcomes

IranputinRussiaGeopolitics

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
November 15WON$8K
November 30WON$3K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%10-3011-0211-05
November 15November 30
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 8% the day before is getting it wrong in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with one or more Iranian government officials between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Putin and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Putin meets with Iranian officials by...?" resolve?
It resolved November 15 around December 1, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 7.5% one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$11K across 2 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.