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Resolved market scorecard

Putin meets with Iranian officials by...?: result and scorecard

Resolved October 31. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 97.4%; a week before, 77.5%. $35K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

October 31
resolved October 27, 2026

Price 1 day before

97.4%
Market was confident and right

Price 7 days before

77.5%
30 days before: –

Volume

$35K
2 outcomes

IranputinRussiaGeopolitics

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
October 31WON$28K
December 31WON$7K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%10-1410-2110-27
October 31December 31
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 97% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with one or more Iranian government officials between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Putin and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Putin meets with Iranian officials by...?" resolve?
It resolved October 31 around January 1, 2027.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 97.4% one day before close, 77.5% one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$35K across 2 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.