Paraguay Presidential Election Winner: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is Person A at 50.0%, ahead of Person B at 50.0%. $2K traded across 42 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
ParaguayPoliticsElectionsMain ElectionWorld Elections
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Person A | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person B | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person C | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person D | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person E | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person F | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person G | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person H | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person I | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person J | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person K | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person L | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person M | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person N | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person O | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person P | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person Q | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person R | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person S | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person T | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person U | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person V | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person W | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person X | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person Y | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person Z | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Other | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Ricardo Estigarribia | 26.5% | 0.0 |
| Basilio Núñez | 26.5% | 0.0 |
| Pedro Alliana | 25.0% | 0.0 |
| Eduardo Nakayama | 21.0% | 0.0 |
| Raúl Latorre | 20.0% | 0.0 |
| Juan Carlos Baruja | 18.5% | 0.0 |
| Kattya González | 18.0% | 0.0 |
| Miguel Prieto | 17.5% | 0.0 |
| Yolanda Paredes | 15.5% | 0.0 |
| Alberto Martínez Simón | 10.0% | 0.0 |
| Lilian Samaniego | 6.5% | 0.0 |
| Luis Pettengill | 6.0% | 0.0 |
| Celeste Amarilla | 6.0% | 0.0 |
| Paraguayo Cubas | 5.5% | 0.0 |
| Arnoldo Wiens | 5.0% | 0.0 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:03 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Paraguayan Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by April 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Paraguay government sources, including the Tribunal Superior de Justicia Electoral (https://www.tsje.gov.py/).
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "Paraguay Presidential Election Winner"?
- As of November 6, 2026, Person A is the favorite at 50.0%, followed by Person B at 50.0%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on May 1, 2028. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $2K in total and $2K in the last 24 hours, with about $5K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.