How did "Over $200M Hyperliquid buybacks in Q1?" resolve?

It resolved No around April 1, 2026.

What did the market predict?

Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 99.7% one day before close, 99.4% one week before and 96.5% one month before.

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Resolved market scorecard

Over $200M Hyperliquid buybacks in Q1?: result and scorecard

Name: Over $200M Hyperliquid buybacks in Q1? prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

Resolved No. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 99.7%; a week before, 99.4%. $181K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:17 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

resolved April 2, 2026

Price 1 day before

99.7%

Market was confident and right

Price 7 days before

99.4%

30 days before: 96.5%

Volume

$181K

1 outcome

Crypto hyperliquid

Final prices by outcome

Outcome	Result	Volume
Yes	LOST	$181K
No	WON	$181K

Price history to resolution

Yes

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 100% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total USD value of Hyperliquid buybacks in Q1 is greater than $200M. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source will be the “Daily Buybacks” table on https://hyperscreener.asxn.xyz/revenue. The sum of the “Notional Amount” (USD) values from January 1 through March 31 will be used. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on other reliable crypto data sources.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Over $200M Hyperliquid buybacks in Q1?" resolve?: It resolved No around April 1, 2026.
What did the market predict?: Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 99.7% one day before close, 99.4% one week before and 96.5% one month before.
How much was traded?: $181K across 1 outcome.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.