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Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner: live odds and probabilities

The market favorite is Actor F at 50.0%, ahead of Actor G at 50.0%. $68K traded across 64 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:02 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

50.0%
Actor F · Trade →

24h move

0.0
pts · 7d 0.0

Volume

$68K
24h $353 · liquidity $56K

Closes

July 1, 2027
237 days left

AwardsMoviesOscarsCultureOscars 2027

All outcomes

OutcomeProbability24h7dVolumeSpread
Actor F50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Actor G50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Actor H50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Actor I50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Actor J50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Actor K50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Actor L50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Actor M50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Actor N50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Actor O50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Actor P50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Actor Q50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Actor R50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Actor S50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Actor T50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Actor U50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Actor V50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Actor W50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Actor X50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Actor Y50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Actor Z50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Actor AA50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Actor AB50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Actor AC50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Actor AD50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Actor AE50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Actor AF50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Actor AG50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Actor AH50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Actor AI50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Actor AJ50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Actor AK50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Actor AL50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Actor AM50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Actor AN50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Actor AO50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Actor AP50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Other50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Paul Giamatti33.5% +2.0+1.5$18K1.0¢
Andrew Garfield21.5% -0.5-0.5$5K1.0¢
Guitarricadelafuente16.3% -1.3-0.4$3K2.0¢
Robert Pattinson12.8% +5.3+8.5$21K5.6¢
Edward Norton4.8% -0.9+0.8$1K8.0¢
John Goodman4.7% -0.1-0.1$2K6.8¢
Sam Rockwell4.2% -3.3-2.4$7K5.5¢
John Leguizamo4.0% +0.1-0.1$8334.9¢
Tom Holland2.3% -0.1-2.4$2K2.7¢
Miles Teller1.3% 0.0+0.8$3302.0¢
Steve Buscemi1.0% 0.0-2.9$3131.4¢
Michael Fassbender1.0% +0.1+0.8$4491.0¢
Daniel Craig0.9% +0.3+0.5$3041.2¢
Guy Pearce0.8% 0.0-0.1$8621.0¢
Adam Scott0.7% 0.0+0.1$3290.8¢
Channing Tatum0.6% 0.0+0.1$4230.6¢
Colman Domingo0.5% 0.0-0.3$4530.4¢
Jeremy Strong0.4% 0.00.0$3140.1¢
Riz Ahmed0.4% 0.00.0$3300.4¢
Jesse Plemons0.4% 0.0-0.1$3120.3¢
Skyler Gisondo0.4% 0.0+0.2$2430.3¢
Robert De Niro0.3% 0.00.0$2940.1¢
Himesh Patel0.3% 0.0-0.1$3240.1¢
James Ortiz0.2% 0.0-0.1$3040.2¢
Travis Scott0.1% 0.00.0$4970.1¢
Charles Melton0.1% 0.00.0$1K0.1¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:02 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Price history

Not enough price history yet for a chart.

Market rules and resolution

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying Actor F at 50% risks 50¢ to win 50¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner"?
As of November 6, 2026, Actor F is the favorite at 50.0%, followed by Actor G at 50.0%.
When does this market resolve?
The market is scheduled to close on July 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?
$68K in total and $353 in the last 24 hours, with about $56K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?
Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.