Who is favored in "OpenAI IPO by...?"?

As of November 6, 2026, June 30, 2027 is the favorite at 45.5%, followed by March 31, 2027 at 19.5%.

When does this market resolve?

The market is scheduled to close on July 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.

How much has been traded?

$3.1M in total and $589 in the last 24 hours, with about $48K of resting liquidity.

Can I trade this market?

Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

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OpenAI IPO by...?: live odds and probabilities

Name: OpenAI IPO by...? prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

The market favorite is June 30, 2027 at 45.5%, ahead of March 31, 2027 at 19.5%. $3.1M traded across 3 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:16 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

45.5%

June 30, 2027 · Trade →

24h move

-0.5

pts · 7d +2.5

Volume

$3.1M

24h $589 · liquidity $48K

Closes

July 1, 2027

237 days left

OpenAI IPO IPOs Big Tech AI Finance

All outcomes

Outcome	Probability	24h	7d	Volume	Spread
June 30, 2027	45.5%	-0.5	+2.5	$12K	1.0¢
March 31, 2027	19.5%	0.0	-1.0	$7K	1.0¢
December 31, 2026	1.8%	-0.3	-2.0	$1.1M	0.1¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 02:16 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

Price history

June 30, 2027March 31, 2027December 31, 2026

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying June 30, 2027 at 46% risks 46¢ to win 54¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "OpenAI IPO by...?"?: As of November 6, 2026, June 30, 2027 is the favorite at 45.5%, followed by March 31, 2027 at 19.5%.
When does this market resolve?: The market is scheduled to close on July 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?: $3.1M in total and $589 in the last 24 hours, with about $48K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?: Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.