What are the odds that Nothing Ever Happens: 2026?

As of November 6, 2026, Polymarket prices Yes at 88.0% and No at 12.0%, on $910K of total volume.

When does this market resolve?

The market is scheduled to close on December 31, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.

How much has been traded?

$910K in total and $3K in the last 24 hours, with about $36K of resting liquidity.

Can I trade this market?

Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Home / Markets / Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Live market data

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026: live odds and probabilities

Name: Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

Polymarket traders currently price Yes at 88.0% (0.0 pts in 24h). $910K has traded on this market.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:00 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Yes probability

88.0%

No 12.0% · Trade →

24h move

0.0

pts · 7d +8.5

Volume

$910K

24h $3K · liquidity $36K

Closes

December 31, 2026

56 days left

20 (50) daily Parlays World Geopolitics Politics

All outcomes

Outcome	Probability	24h	7d	Volume	Spread
Yes	88.0%	0.0	+8.5	$910K	2.0¢
No	12.0%	0.0	-8.5	$910K	–

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:00 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

Price history

Yes

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET: - Trump out as President - China invades Taiwan - Xi Jinping out - U.S. invades Iran - Iranian regime falls - Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’ - Jeffrey Epstein alive - Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate - Russia invades a NATO country - Trump acquires Greenland - 9.0 or above earthquake - Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) - Major meteor strike (250kt+) Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/NEH/NEH+2026.pdf

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying Yes at 88% risks 88¢ to win 12¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds that Nothing Ever Happens: 2026?: As of November 6, 2026, Polymarket prices Yes at 88.0% and No at 12.0%, on $910K of total volume.
When does this market resolve?: The market is scheduled to close on December 31, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?: $910K in total and $3K in the last 24 hours, with about $36K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?: Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.