Nobel Physics Prize Winner 2026: result and scorecard
This market has closed. $5K traded in total. Final resolution details are below.
Result
Price 1 day before
Price 7 days before
Volume
nobelAwardsCultureNobel PrizeNobel Peace Prize
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| Stéphane Mallat | LOST |
| John Pendry | LOST |
| Rafi Bistritzer | LOST |
| Michael Berry | LOST |
| Ingrid Daubechies | LOST |
| James Eisenstein | LOST |
| Carlos Frenk | LOST |
| Jainendra Jain | LOST |
| Sara Seager | LOST |
| John Preskill | LOST |
| Eugene Mele | LOST |
| Moty Heiblum | LOST |
| Pablo Jarillo-Herrero | LOST |
| Ewine van Dishoeck | LOST |
| Federico Capasso | LOST |
| Charles Kane | LOST |
| Marc Davis | LOST |
| Peter Shor | LOST |
| Yves Meyer | LOST |
| Yakir Aharonov | LOST |
| Simon White | LOST |
| Allan MacDonald | LOST |
| David Charbonneau | LOST |
| Alexei Kitaev | LOST |
Price history to resolution
Scorecard
Resolution rules
The Nobel Prize in Physics is awarded annually by the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences. The 2026 Nobel Prize in Physics is scheduled to be announced on October 6, 2026, at 11:45 AM CEST (5:45 AM ET) at the earliest. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed person is named a laureate of the 2026 Nobel Prize in Physics in the official announcement from the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The prize may be shared by up to three laureates. A listed person who shares the 2026 Nobel Prize in Physics will resolve to "Yes" regardless of how many other laureates are named alongside them. If the 2026 Nobel Prize in Physics is withheld, is reserved for a later year, or has otherwise not been announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the official announcement from the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences, published at https://www.nobelprize.org/; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "Nobel Physics Prize Winner 2026" resolve?
- The market has closed and final resolution is pending or not reported by the API.
- What did the market predict?
- Price history is shown in the chart above.
- How much was traded?
- $5K across 24 outcomes.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.