Nobel Economics Prize Winner 2026: result and scorecard
Resolved Michael Woodford. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 11.5%; a week before, –. $111K traded in total.
Result
Price 1 day before
Price 7 days before
Volume
nobelAwardsCultureNobel PrizeNobel Peace Prize
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| Michael Woodford | WON |
| Ariel Pakes | LOST |
| Susan Athey | LOST |
| Richard Blundell | LOST |
| Partha Dasgupta | LOST |
| Javier Milei | LOST |
| Lawrence Katz | LOST |
| Robert Barro | LOST |
| Luigi Zingales | LOST |
| Matthew Rabin | LOST |
| Andreu Mas-Colell | LOST |
| David Autor | LOST |
| Ernst Fehr | LOST |
| Hal Varian | LOST |
| Sidney Winter | LOST |
| Demian Reidel | LOST |
| Victor Chernozhukov | LOST |
Price history to resolution
Scorecard
Resolution rules
The Nobel Prize in Economics is awarded annually by the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences. The 2026 Nobel Prize in Economics is scheduled to be announced on October 12, 2026, at 11:45 AM CEST (5:45 AM ET) at the earliest. The Nobel Prize in Economics means the Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed person is named a laureate of the 2026 Nobel Prize in Economics in the official announcement from the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The prize may be shared by up to three laureates. A listed person who shares the 2026 Nobel Prize in Economics will resolve to "Yes" regardless of how many other laureates are named alongside them. If the 2026 Nobel Prize in Economics is withheld, is reserved for a later year, or has otherwise not been announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the official announcement from the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences, published at https://www.nobelprize.org/; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "Nobel Economics Prize Winner 2026" resolve?
- It resolved Michael Woodford around October 13, 2026.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 11.5% one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $111K across 17 outcomes.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.