LIVE Hyperliquid whale tracker: the largest open positions and what they are doing, updated every few minutes →
Home / Markets / Nobel Economics Prize Winner 2026
Resolved market scorecard

Nobel Economics Prize Winner 2026: result and scorecard

Resolved Michael Woodford. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 11.5%; a week before, –. $111K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:03 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Michael Woodford
resolved October 12, 2026

Price 1 day before

11.5%
Market leaned the wrong way

Price 7 days before

–
30 days before: –

Volume

$111K
17 outcomes

nobelAwardsCultureNobel PrizeNobel Peace Prize

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
Michael WoodfordWON$5K
Ariel PakesLOST$19K
Susan AtheyLOST$15K
Richard BlundellLOST$13K
Partha DasguptaLOST$10K
Javier MileiLOST$8K
Lawrence KatzLOST$7K
Robert BarroLOST$6K
Luigi ZingalesLOST$5K
Matthew RabinLOST$5K
Andreu Mas-ColellLOST$4K
David AutorLOST$4K
Ernst FehrLOST$3K
Hal VarianLOST$2K
Sidney WinterLOST$2K
Demian ReidelLOST$2K
Victor ChernozhukovLOST$994

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%10-0610-0910-12
Michael WoodfordAriel PakesSusan AtheyRichard Blundell
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 12% the day before is getting it wrong in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

The Nobel Prize in Economics is awarded annually by the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences. The 2026 Nobel Prize in Economics is scheduled to be announced on October 12, 2026, at 11:45 AM CEST (5:45 AM ET) at the earliest. The Nobel Prize in Economics means the Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed person is named a laureate of the 2026 Nobel Prize in Economics in the official announcement from the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The prize may be shared by up to three laureates. A listed person who shares the 2026 Nobel Prize in Economics will resolve to "Yes" regardless of how many other laureates are named alongside them. If the 2026 Nobel Prize in Economics is withheld, is reserved for a later year, or has otherwise not been announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the official announcement from the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences, published at https://www.nobelprize.org/; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Nobel Economics Prize Winner 2026" resolve?
It resolved Michael Woodford around October 13, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 11.5% one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$111K across 17 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.