Will Newsmax (NMAX) beat quarterly earnings?: live odds and probabilities
Polymarket traders currently price Yes at 47.0% (+12.5 pts in 24h). $2K has traded on this market.
Yes probability
24h move
Volume
Closes
FinanceEarningsHide From NewEquitiesNMAX
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 47.0% | +12.5 |
| No | 53.0% | -12.5 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:12 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
As of market creation, Newsmax is estimated to release earnings on November 12, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Newsmax's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $-0.01 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Newsmax reports GAAP EPS greater than $-0.01 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If Newsmax releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”. If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024). Note: The strike prices used in these markets reflect the selected street consensus estimate for GAAP EPS as of market creation. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS. Note: GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS. Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated. Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- What are the odds that Will Newsmax (NMAX) beat quarterly earnings?
- As of November 6, 2026, Polymarket prices Yes at 47.0% and No at 53.0%, on $2K of total volume.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on November 12, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $2K in total and $885 in the last 24 hours, with about $318 of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.