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Resolved market scorecard

Next President of Hungary?: result and scorecard

Resolved András Baka. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 99.9%; a week before, 99.8%. $96K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:01 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

András Baka
resolved August 19, 2026

Price 1 day before

99.9%
Market was confident and right

Price 7 days before

99.8%
30 days before: –

Volume

$96K
34 outcomes

HungaryPoliticsElectionsMain ElectionGlobal Elections

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
András BakaWON$17K
Botond FülöpLOST$21K
Adrienn LaczóLOST$20K
Ignác RomsicsLOST$13K
Péter BárándyLOST$12K
Ágnes ForsthofferLOST$6K
Tamás FabinyLOST$3K
Judit PolgárLOST$2K
Ildikó EnyediLOST$2K
Person CLOST$0
Person DLOST$0
Person ELOST$0
Person FLOST$0
Person GLOST$0
Person HLOST$0
Person ILOST$0
Person JLOST$0
Person KLOST$0
Person LLOST$0
Person MLOST$0
Person NLOST$0
Person OLOST$0
Person PLOST$0
Person QLOST$0
Person RLOST$0
Person SLOST$0
Person TLOST$0
Person ULOST$0
Person VLOST$0
Person WLOST$0
Person XLOST$0
Person YLOST$0
Person ZLOST$0
OtherLOST$0

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%07-2808-0808-19
András BakaBotond FülöpAdrienn LaczóIgnác Romsics
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 100% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

Hungary is currently scheduled to indirectly elect a new president on or before August 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of President of Hungary by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in as President of Hungary. Any interim or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such President takes office by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Next President of Hungary?" resolve?
It resolved András Baka around August 18, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 99.9% one day before close, 99.8% one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$96K across 34 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.