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Home / Markets / NBA to pass Luka Doncic’s “Extraordinary Circumstances Chall
Resolved market scorecard

NBA to pass Luka Doncic’s “Extraordinary Circumstances Challenge”?: result and scorecard

Resolved Yes. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 56.5%; a week before, 83.0%. $22K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:03 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Yes
resolved April 16, 2026

Price 1 day before

56.5%
Market was a coin flip

Price 7 days before

83.0%
30 days before: –

Volume

$22K
1 outcome

NBASportsBasketballlakersLuka Doncic

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
YesWON$22K
NoLOST$22K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%04-0604-0704-09
Yes
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 56% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the NBA rules in favor of the Extraordinary Circumstances Challenge submitted by Luka Doncic and his representatives, allowing Luka Doncic to be eligible for end of season awards. Otherwise, this market will resolve “No”. If no ruling in this case is delivered by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the challenge is not submitted within the NBA’s required window, this market will resolve to “50-50”. The resolution source will be official information from the NBA; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

How did "NBA to pass Luka Doncic’s “Extraordinary Circumstances Challenge”?" resolve?
It resolved Yes around July 1, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 56.5% one day before close, 83.0% one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$22K across 1 outcome.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.