NBA: Teams to Win 40+ Games: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is Detroit Pistons at 51.5%, ahead of Indiana Pacers at 51.5%. $5 traded across 30 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
NBASportsBasketballHide From NewNBA Tip-Off
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Detroit Pistons | 51.5% | 0.0 |
| Indiana Pacers | 51.5% | 0.0 |
| Boston Celtics | 51.0% | 0.0 |
| Houston Rockets | 51.0% | 0.0 |
| New York Knicks | 51.0% | 0.0 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | 51.0% | 0.0 |
| Philadelphia 76ers | 51.0% | 0.0 |
| Portland Trail Blazers | 51.0% | 0.0 |
| San Antonio Spurs | 51.0% | 0.0 |
| Atlanta Hawks | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Brooklyn Nets | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Charlotte Hornets | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Chicago Bulls | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Dallas Mavericks | 50.0% | +0.5 |
| Denver Nuggets | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Golden State Warriors | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Los Angeles Clippers | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Los Angeles Lakers | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Memphis Grizzlies | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Miami Heat | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Milwaukee Bucks | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Minnesota Timberwolves | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| New Orleans Pelicans | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Orlando Magic | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Phoenix Suns | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Sacramento Kings | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Toronto Raptors | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Utah Jazz | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Washington Wizards | 50.0% | 0.0 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 02:18 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team wins 40 or more games during the 2026-27 NBA regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only wins in 2026-27 NBA regular-season games count. NBA Cup group-play and knockout games other than the NBA Cup Championship game are regular-season games and count. Preseason, NBA Cup Championship game, Play-In Tournament and playoff games do not count. The 2026-27 NBA regular season is scheduled to run from October 20, 2026 to April 11, 2027. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win 40 or more games during the 2026-27 NBA regular season (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NBA regular season is cancelled, shortened, or postponed after April 25, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team has won 40 or more regular-season games by that time, and otherwise to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from the NBA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Detroit Pistons win 40 or more games during the 2026-27 NBA regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only wins in 2026-27 NBA regular-season games count. NBA Cup group-play and knockout games other than the NBA Cup Championship game are regular-season games and count. Preseason, NBA Cup Championship game, Play-In Tournament and playoff games do not count. The 2026-27 NBA regular season is scheduled to run from October 20, 2026 to April 11, 2027. If at any point it becomes impossible for the Detroit Pistons to win 40 or more games during the 2026-27 NBA regular season (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NBA regular season is cancelled, shortened, or postponed after April 25, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes" if the Detroit Pistons have won 40 or more regular-season games by that time, and otherwise to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from the NBA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "NBA: Teams to Win 40+ Games"?
- As of November 6, 2026, Detroit Pistons is the favorite at 51.5%, followed by Indiana Pacers at 51.5%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on April 26, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $5 in total and $0 in the last 24 hours, with about $4K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.