NBA: Team to Make Playoffs: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is San Antonio Spurs at 96.5%, ahead of Houston Rockets at 94.0%. $219K traded across 30 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
NBASportsBasketballNBA Tip-Off
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| San Antonio Spurs | 96.5% | 0.0 |
| Houston Rockets | 94.0% | +1.5 |
| Boston Celtics | 93.0% | +1.0 |
| Detroit Pistons | 91.5% | -1.0 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | 88.1% | +9.8 |
| Philadelphia 76ers | 88.0% | 0.0 |
| Minnesota Timberwolves | 85.5% | +2.0 |
| New York Knicks | 85.5% | +0.5 |
| Toronto Raptors | 84.5% | -2.5 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers | 84.0% | 0.0 |
| Denver Nuggets | 83.5% | +4.5 |
| Los Angeles Lakers | 81.5% | 0.0 |
| Portland Trail Blazers | 80.0% | +2.5 |
| Miami Heat | 60.5% | 0.0 |
| Atlanta Hawks | 57.5% | -3.5 |
| Golden State Warriors | 54.5% | +5.0 |
| Memphis Grizzlies | 46.5% | -2.0 |
| Dallas Mavericks | 42.0% | 0.0 |
| Indiana Pacers | 40.5% | +2.5 |
| Orlando Magic | 40.0% | -5.0 |
| Charlotte Hornets | 34.5% | -4.0 |
| Phoenix Suns | 29.5% | +0.5 |
| Washington Wizards | 27.0% | -3.5 |
| New Orleans Pelicans | 26.5% | +12.5 |
| LA Clippers | 12.5% | 0.0 |
| Utah Jazz | 12.5% | -3.5 |
| Chicago Bulls | 5.5% | 0.0 |
| Milwaukee Bucks | 5.1% | +0.1 |
| Brooklyn Nets | 4.0% | -1.1 |
| Sacramento Kings | 3.2% | +0.2 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:03 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team clinches a spot in the 2027 NBA Playoffs per the rules of the NBA. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the 2027 NBA Playoffs (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". Reaching the Play-In Tournament does not, by itself, qualify a team for the Playoffs and will not resolve this market to "Yes." A team must win its way through the Play-In into the 7-seed or 8-seed to qualify. Losing in the Play-In Tournament (or any associated tiebreaker) resolves this market to "No." If the 2027 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed to begin after May 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or the full 16-team playoff field has not been officially confirmed by the NBA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA and/or the clinching team; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "NBA: Team to Make Playoffs"?
- As of November 6, 2026, San Antonio Spurs is the favorite at 96.5%, followed by Houston Rockets at 94.0%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on May 16, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $219K in total and $3K in the last 24 hours, with about $430K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.