NBA Playoffs: Team to advance to Western Conference Semifinals: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is San Antonio Spurs at 72.5%, ahead of Minnesota Timberwolves at 70.0%. $13K traded across 15 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
NBASportsBasketballNBA PlayoffsConference Semifinals
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| San Antonio Spurs | 72.5% | 0.0 |
| Minnesota Timberwolves | 70.0% | 0.0 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | 66.5% | 0.0 |
| Houston Rockets | 60.0% | +4.5 |
| Denver Nuggets | 55.5% | 0.0 |
| Portland Trail Blazers | 51.0% | 0.0 |
| LA Clippers | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Los Angeles Lakers | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Utah Jazz | 49.5% | +3.5 |
| Golden State Warriors | 26.0% | 0.0 |
| Memphis Grizzlies | 25.0% | -0.8 |
| Dallas Mavericks | 7.8% | -0.1 |
| Phoenix Suns | 7.0% | 0.0 |
| Sacramento Kings | 5.5% | 0.0 |
| New Orleans Pelicans | 3.1% | -0.1 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the Western Conference Semifinals of the 2027 NBA Playoffs. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the Western Conference Semifinals of the 2027 NBA Playoffs (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2027 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or the Western Conference Semifinals matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "NBA Playoffs: Team to advance to Western Conference Semifinals"?
- As of November 6, 2026, San Antonio Spurs is the favorite at 72.5%, followed by Minnesota Timberwolves at 70.0%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on May 5, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $13K in total and $0 in the last 24 hours, with about $2K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.