NBA Playoffs: Team to advance to Western Conference Finals: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is San Antonio Spurs at 61.0%, ahead of Oklahoma City Thunder at 58.5%. $17K traded across 15 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
NBASportsBasketballNBA PlayoffsConference Finals
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| San Antonio Spurs | 61.0% | +2.5 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | 58.5% | 0.0 |
| Phoenix Suns | 46.3% | -0.7 |
| Minnesota Timberwolves | 43.5% | -1.5 |
| Houston Rockets | 27.0% | 0.0 |
| Los Angeles Lakers | 21.0% | +1.0 |
| Denver Nuggets | 15.0% | 0.0 |
| Golden State Warriors | 13.0% | +8.0 |
| Portland Trail Blazers | 9.4% | -6.5 |
| Memphis Grizzlies | 4.5% | -2.1 |
| Dallas Mavericks | 3.7% | +0.1 |
| Utah Jazz | 3.4% | +0.3 |
| LA Clippers | 3.0% | +0.5 |
| New Orleans Pelicans | 3.0% | 0.0 |
| Sacramento Kings | 2.1% | +1.5 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:01 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the Western Conference Finals of the 2027 NBA Playoffs. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the Western Conference Finals of the 2027 NBA Playoffs (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2027 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or the Western Conference Finals matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "NBA Playoffs: Team to advance to Western Conference Finals"?
- As of November 6, 2026, San Antonio Spurs is the favorite at 61.0%, followed by Oklahoma City Thunder at 58.5%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on May 25, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $17K in total and $5 in the last 24 hours, with about $6K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.