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NBA Playoffs: 2027 Finals Exact Matchup: live odds and probabilities

The market favorite is 76ers vs Lakers at 48.9%, ahead of Pistons vs Lakers at 48.7%. $17K traded across 101 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:18 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

48.9%
76ers vs Lakers · Trade →

24h move

+44.0
pts · 7d +46.0

Volume

$17K
24h $334 · liquidity $17K

Closes

June 15, 2027
221 days left

NBASportsBasketballNBA FinalsNBA Playoffs

All outcomes

OutcomeProbability24h7dVolumeSpread
76ers vs Lakers48.9% +44.0+46.0$6596.1¢
Pistons vs Lakers48.7% +46.1+45.7$9297.0¢
76ers vs Nuggets48.6% +48.0+46.1$5596.6¢
Pacers vs Lakers46.7% +46.1+42.8$13386.7¢
Hawks vs Rockets45.6% +0.4+41.7$7588.9¢
Raptors vs Spurs45.4% +44.5+41.9$5589.3¢
Pistons vs Nuggets45.1% -4.3+39.1$5589.6¢
Celtics vs Nuggets45.0% +44.5+41.0$11589.6¢
Cavaliers vs Mavericks45.0% +41.3+41.4$11589.6¢
Cavaliers vs Trail Blazers45.0% +39.6+38.9$19589.5¢
Raptors vs Mavericks44.9% -0.1+41.4$19589.6¢
Other44.6% +0.4+17.5$23688.7¢
Pistons vs Trail Blazers43.0% -2.1+40.5$9585.6¢
Wizards vs Spurs42.4% -2.6+41.0$9584.5¢
Knicks vs Mavericks41.1% -2.9+38.9$19581.2¢
Pistons vs Warriors41.1% +9.4+38.1$7581.8¢
Pistons vs Rockets40.8% -7.3+38.1$11581.3¢
Cavaliers vs Jazz40.2% -4.8+36.6$23679.9¢
Heat vs Lakers39.8% +39.2+36.4$17679.2¢
Hawks vs Spurs38.4% +37.8+31.9$11576.3¢
Knicks vs Lakers37.1% +36.5+31.6$5572.7¢
Knicks vs Jazz36.5% +35.9+35.9$28272.6¢
Pacers vs Nuggets36.4% -13.1+30.3$5571.7¢
76ers vs Rockets35.8% -6.9+27.4$19169.2¢
Celtics vs Timberwolves35.4% +33.4+31.3$7570.4¢
Raptors vs Thunder35.3% +34.5+31.8$6569.6¢
Celtics vs Lakers35.0% -10.1+29.4$5569.4¢
76ers vs Spurs34.9% -1.4-0.1$5569.9¢
Knicks vs Rockets34.9% +34.3+28.0$5568.0¢
Cavaliers vs Spurs34.8% -14.3+27.9$5569.2¢
Knicks vs Warriors34.3% -6.7+28.3$11468.1¢
Hawks vs Trail Blazers33.3% -6.9+30.3$11565.6¢
Raptors vs Nuggets28.4% +26.1+24.1$15556.5¢
Knicks vs Spurs25.6% +21.4+21.4$5550.8¢
Celtics vs Warriors25.3% +24.6+24.6$20750.2¢
76ers vs Mavericks24.5% +23.9+18.6$15648.2¢
Hawks vs Jazz11.9% +8.1+8.1$17523.5¢
Cavaliers vs Timberwolves6.5% 0.0+0.1$60212.6¢
Pistons vs Spurs6.3% -40.9-40.9$21411.7¢
Wizards vs Lakers5.7% 0.0+1.5$25611.1¢
Hawks vs Thunder5.2% +1.5-0.4$15610.0¢
Raptors vs Trail Blazers5.1% 0.00.0$969.8¢
Knicks vs Thunder4.9% 0.0-39.0$969.8¢
Celtics vs Spurs4.2% 0.0-0.1$558.0¢
Wizards vs Warriors4.2% 0.0-0.2$2058.0¢
76ers vs Trail Blazers4.2% +0.10.0$1147.9¢
Heat vs Warriors4.2% 0.00.0$1157.9¢
Raptors vs Lakers4.2% 0.00.0$767.9¢
Hawks vs Warriors4.2% 0.0+1.6$1957.9¢
76ers vs Timberwolves4.1% 0.0+1.1$1537.8¢
Celtics vs Trail Blazers4.1% 0.00.0$1157.8¢
Celtics vs Thunder4.0% 0.00.0$557.7¢
Heat vs Thunder4.0% 0.0-2.1$1357.4¢
Heat vs Mavericks4.0% 0.00.0$1547.3¢
Pacers vs Trail Blazers4.0% -1.0+3.4$2357.5¢
Pacers vs Mavericks3.7% 0.0+0.8$2087.0¢
Heat vs Spurs3.6% +0.1-0.9$856.5¢
76ers vs Thunder3.5% +1.0-21.9$2K6.3¢
Pacers vs Warriors3.4% 0.0+2.7$1566.4¢
Hawks vs Timberwolves3.4% 0.0-0.3$1976.4¢
Knicks vs Trail Blazers3.2% 0.0-41.6$1756.0¢
Heat vs Jazz3.2% 0.0-2.7$1156.0¢
Raptors vs Timberwolves3.2% 0.0-2.8$1364.0¢
Cavaliers vs Rockets3.2% 0.0-2.9$1785.0¢
Wizards vs Thunder3.2% 0.0-41.6$1156.0¢
Raptors vs Warriors3.1% 0.0-2.8$2364.8¢
Pacers vs Spurs3.0% 0.0+0.1$975.9¢
Pacers vs Thunder3.0% 0.00.0$1155.7¢
Pacers vs Jazz3.0% -46.2-2.8$2153.7¢
Wizards vs Trail Blazers3.0% 0.00.0$1935.5¢
Pistons vs Thunder3.0% 0.0+0.1$735.6¢
Heat vs Nuggets2.9% 0.0-3.0$1364.5¢
Pistons vs Jazz2.9% 0.0-2.6$1954.5¢
Cavaliers vs Lakers2.9% 0.0-0.6$1964.5¢
Cavaliers vs Warriors2.9% 0.0+0.4$1964.5¢
Pistons vs Timberwolves2.9% +2.1-0.1$1305.4¢
Knicks vs Timberwolves2.9% -0.5-3.5$655.3¢
Heat vs Rockets2.8% +2.3-0.7$965.2¢
Heat vs Trail Blazers2.8% 0.0-44.0$1455.2¢
Hawks vs Nuggets2.8% +1.2+2.2$1555.2¢
Pacers vs Rockets2.8% +2.2-1.3$2555.3¢
Celtics vs Rockets2.7% 0.0-2.9$1364.0¢
Pacers vs Timberwolves2.7% 0.0+0.8$3223.0¢
Knicks vs Nuggets2.6% 0.0+0.1$754.8¢
Wizards vs Rockets2.6% 0.00.0$1764.8¢
76ers vs Warriors2.5% 0.00.0$2564.7¢
Hawks vs Mavericks2.5% 0.0+1.8$2364.7¢
Raptors vs Jazz2.5% -23.0-3.5$1364.6¢
Cavaliers vs Nuggets2.5% 0.0-0.1$1154.6¢
Heat vs Timberwolves2.5% 0.0-0.2$764.5¢
Hawks vs Lakers2.5% 0.00.0$2254.5¢
Wizards vs Timberwolves2.1% 0.00.0$1353.8¢
Raptors vs Rockets2.1% 0.0+0.1$553.9¢
Wizards vs Jazz2.1% 0.0-0.1$2963.7¢
Wizards vs Mavericks2.1% 0.00.0$2353.7¢
Pistons vs Mavericks1.6% 0.0+0.9$2992.7¢
Celtics vs Mavericks1.0% -0.4-0.7$4070.8¢
76ers vs Jazz0.7% 0.00.0$2070.9¢
Cavaliers vs Thunder0.7% 0.0+0.1$1170.9¢
Wizards vs Nuggets0.7% 0.0+0.1$2550.9¢
Celtics vs Jazz0.6% 0.00.0$1950.8¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 02:18 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Price history

0%25%50%75%100%10-1410-2511-06
76ers vs LakersPistons vs Lakers76ers vs NuggetsPacers vs Lakers

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve in favor of the 2027 NBA Finals matchup determined by the winners of the Eastern Conference Finals and Western Conference Finals of the 2027 NBA Playoffs. This market will resolve as soon as both conference champions are determined, regardless of any later event affecting the 2027 NBA Finals. If the matchup is not a listed matchup, the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed matchup to occur in the 2027 NBA Finals (e.g. one of its teams is mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2027 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or the 2027 NBA Finals matchup has not been determined within that timeframe, each listed matchup's market will resolve to "No" and the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying 76ers vs Lakers at 49% risks 49¢ to win 51¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "NBA Playoffs: 2027 Finals Exact Matchup"?
As of November 6, 2026, 76ers vs Lakers is the favorite at 48.9%, followed by Pistons vs Lakers at 48.7%.
When does this market resolve?
The market is scheduled to close on June 15, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?
$17K in total and $334 in the last 24 hours, with about $17K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?
Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.