NBA: LeBron James to Reach 45,000 Career Points in 2026-27?: live odds and probabilities
Polymarket traders currently price Yes at 11.5% (-0.5 pts in 24h). $20 has traded on this market.
Yes probability
24h move
Volume
Closes
NBASportsBasketballLebron JamesSeason stats
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 11.5% | -0.5 |
| No | 88.5% | +0.5 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve to “Yes” if LeBron James reaches 45,000 or more career NBA regular season points during the 2026-27 NBA regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only points scored in NBA regular season games count toward this total, regardless of the team LeBron James plays for. Points scored in the preseason, the NBA Play-In Tournament, the NBA Playoffs, the NBA Cup Championship game, or All-Star events will not count. LeBron James finished the 2025-26 NBA regular season with 43,440 career regular season points. If at any point it becomes impossible for LeBron James to reach 45,000 career regular season points during the 2026-27 NBA regular season, including if he retires, this market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026-27 NBA regular season is cancelled, or postponed after April 25, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, before LeBron James reaches 45,000 career regular season points, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- What are the odds that NBA: LeBron James to Reach 45,000 Career Points in 2026-27?
- As of November 6, 2026, Polymarket prices Yes at 11.5% and No at 88.5%, on $20 of total volume.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on April 26, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $20 in total and $0 in the last 24 hours, with about $821 of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.