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Home / Markets / NBA: How Much Will LeBron’s Next Contract Be?
Resolved market scorecard

NBA: How Much Will LeBron’s Next Contract Be?: result and scorecard

Resolved Under $4M. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 97.8%; a week before, 5.2%. $332K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:06 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Under $4M
resolved July 27, 2026

Price 1 day before

97.8%
Market was confident and right

Price 7 days before

5.2%
30 days before: –

Volume

$332K
6 outcomes

NBALebronSportsBasketballLebron James

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
Under $4MWON$95K
$4M-$10MLOST$118K
$15M-$50MLOST$71K
$10M-$15MLOST$30K
Over $50MLOST$18K
OtherLOST$0

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%07-0107-1407-27
Under $4M$4M-$10M$15M-$50M$10M-$15M
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 98% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve in favor of the bucket that matches the annual average value of the next NBA contract of LeBron James as reported at signing. Only contracts with a minimum length of 1 year will be considered. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If LeBron James retires or does not agree to a contract with an NBA team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the acquiring team; however, a consensus of credible sources may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

How did "NBA: How Much Will LeBron’s Next Contract Be?" resolve?
It resolved Under $4M around October 31, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 97.8% one day before close, 5.2% one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$332K across 6 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.