NBA: 2026-27 Western Conference #1 Seed: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is San Antonio Spurs at 47.0%, ahead of Oklahoma City Thunder at 24.5%. $10K traded across 16 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
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All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| San Antonio Spurs | 47.0% | +2.5 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | 24.5% | +7.5 |
| Houston Rockets | 20.8% | -2.1 |
| Denver Nuggets | 5.0% | +0.8 |
| Los Angeles Lakers | 4.5% | +0.5 |
| Portland Trail Blazers | 4.4% | -3.7 |
| Golden State Warriors | 4.3% | +0.2 |
| New Orleans Pelicans | 3.5% | +0.8 |
| Los Angeles Clippers | 3.5% | +0.4 |
| Dallas Mavericks | 3.4% | +0.7 |
| Phoenix Suns | 3.3% | +0.7 |
| Minnesota Timberwolves | 3.1% | -2.7 |
| Memphis Grizzlies | 2.9% | -0.1 |
| Other | 2.5% | -5.9 |
| Utah Jazz | 1.6% | -1.1 |
| Sacramento Kings | 0.4% | +0.3 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:03 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the team that holds the #1 seed in the Western Conference at the conclusion of the 2026-27 NBA regular season, as shown in the final official NBA Western Conference standings with the NBA's tiebreaker procedures applied. Each other listed team's market will resolve to "No". The 2026-27 NBA regular season is scheduled to run from October 20, 2026 to April 11, 2027. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to finish as the #1 seed in the Western Conference, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NBA regular season is shortened, this market will resolve according to the final official standings of the shortened season. If the 2026-27 NBA regular season is cancelled, or the #1 seed has not been determined by April 25, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, each listed team's market will resolve to "No" and the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "NBA: 2026-27 Western Conference #1 Seed"?
- As of November 6, 2026, San Antonio Spurs is the favorite at 47.0%, followed by Oklahoma City Thunder at 24.5%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on April 26, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $10K in total and $2K in the last 24 hours, with about $11K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.