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NBA: 2026-27 Efficiency (EFF) Leader: live odds and probabilities

The market favorite is Nikola Jokic at 61.1%, ahead of Player A at 50.0%. $16K traded across 110 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:17 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

61.1%
Nikola Jokic · Trade →

24h move

+3.0
pts · 7d +5.5

Volume

$16K
24h $138 · liquidity $12K

Closes

April 26, 2027
171 days left

NBASportsBasketballSeason statsHide From New

All outcomes

OutcomeProbability24h7dVolumeSpread
Nikola Jokic61.1% +3.0+5.5$7K26.3¢
Player A50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Player B50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Player C50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Player D50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Player E50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Player F50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Player G50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Player H50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Player I50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Other50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Victor Wembanyama10.2% -2.3-0.5$1417.1¢
Luka Doncic5.4% 0.00.0$21510.4¢
Giannis Antetokounmpo4.0% -4.9+0.5$1357.7¢
Miles Bridges4.0% 0.0-0.1$987.6¢
Josh Giddey4.0% +0.1+0.1$787.6¢
Dyson Daniels4.0% 0.00.0$787.5¢
Josh Hart4.0% +0.4+0.3$987.5¢
Isaiah Hartenstein4.0% 0.00.0$987.5¢
LeBron James4.0% -5.0+0.8$1187.5¢
Payton Pritchard4.0% 0.00.0$787.5¢
Keyonte George3.9% 0.00.0$787.4¢
AJ Dybantsa3.8% 0.00.0$787.1¢
Aaron Gordon3.8% -0.1-0.1$787.1¢
Deni Avdija3.7% 0.00.0$987.0¢
Kyrie Irving3.7% 0.00.0$987.0¢
Michael Porter Jr.3.7% 0.00.0$787.0¢
Pascal Siakam3.7% 0.00.0$787.0¢
Paolo Banchero3.6% 0.00.0$986.9¢
Anthony Edwards3.6% 0.00.0$986.9¢
Jamal Murray3.6% 0.00.0$986.9¢
Deandre Ayton3.6% 0.00.0$986.8¢
Desmond Bane3.5% 0.00.0$986.7¢
Stephen Curry3.5% 0.00.0$786.7¢
Jimmy Butler III3.5% 0.00.0$986.7¢
Trey Murphy III3.5% -0.1-0.1$986.7¢
Walker Kessler3.5% 0.00.0$986.7¢
Neemias Queta3.5% 0.00.0$986.7¢
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander3.5% 0.0+0.1$986.2¢
Jalen Johnson3.5% 0.00.0$786.6¢
Zion Williamson3.5% 0.00.0$786.6¢
Rudy Gobert3.5% 0.00.0$786.5¢
Jalen Brunson3.4% -0.5-0.5$986.4¢
Cade Cunningham3.4% -0.4-0.4$1186.4¢
Ivica Zubac3.4% -0.5-0.5$786.4¢
Brandon Miller3.3% -0.5-0.5$986.2¢
Zach Edey3.3% +0.1-0.5$666.1¢
LaMelo Ball3.2% 0.00.0$786.0¢
Nic Claxton3.2% 0.00.0$786.0¢
DeMar DeRozan3.2% 0.00.0$786.0¢
Kevin Durant3.2% 0.00.0$786.0¢
VJ Edgecombe3.2% 0.00.0$786.0¢
Joel Embiid3.2% 0.00.0$1146.0¢
Cooper Flagg3.2% 0.00.0$1146.0¢
De'Aaron Fox3.2% 0.00.0$1146.0¢
Brandon Ingram3.2% 0.00.0$786.0¢
Jaren Jackson Jr.3.2% 0.00.0$786.0¢
Kawhi Leonard3.2% +0.1+0.1$786.0¢
Donovan Mitchell3.2% 0.00.0$786.0¢
Evan Mobley3.2% 0.00.0$786.0¢
Dejounte Murray3.2% 0.00.0$786.0¢
Andrew Nembhard3.2% 0.00.0$786.0¢
Jusuf Nurkic3.2% 0.00.0$786.0¢
Darryn Peterson3.2% 0.00.0$786.0¢
Julius Randle3.2% 0.00.0$786.0¢
Austin Reaves3.2% 0.00.0$786.0¢
Ryan Rollins3.2% 0.00.0$786.0¢
Alex Sarr3.2% 0.00.0$786.0¢
Jayson Tatum3.2% 0.00.0$786.0¢
Nikola Vucevic3.2% 0.00.0$786.0¢
Franz Wagner3.2% 0.00.0$966.0¢
Derrick White3.2% 0.00.0$966.0¢
Mark Williams3.2% 0.00.0$786.0¢
RJ Barrett3.1% -0.5-0.5$785.9¢
Tyrese Haliburton3.1% -0.7-0.7$985.9¢
Paul George3.0% -0.1-0.1$965.7¢
Immanuel Quickley3.0% -0.2-0.2$785.6¢
Tyrese Maxey2.9% -0.5-0.7$855.5¢
Jarrett Allen2.8% 0.00.0$985.1¢
Onyeka Okongwu2.7% -0.1-0.1$785.0¢
Jaylen Brown2.6% 0.00.0$984.9¢
Kon Knueppel2.6% -2.9-9.6$1374.9¢
Saddiq Bey2.6% 0.00.0$984.8¢
Anthony Davis2.6% 0.00.0$984.8¢
Tyler Herro2.6% 0.00.0$984.8¢
Ty Jerome2.5% -1.3-1.3$784.7¢
Trae Young2.5% 0.0+0.1$2234.0¢
Nickeil Alexander-Walker2.4% 0.00.0$984.4¢
Chet Holmgren2.4% 0.00.0$984.4¢
Devin Booker2.2% 0.00.0$984.0¢
James Harden2.1% -1.0-1.4$1003.9¢
Jalen Williams2.1% -0.3-0.3$783.9¢
Lauri Markkanen2.1% -1.1-1.4$1123.8¢
Domantas Sabonis2.1% -1.1-1.1$783.8¢
Amen Thompson2.1% -1.8-1.8$783.8¢
Cameron Boozer2.1% 0.00.0$983.7¢
Ja Morant2.1% -1.1-1.1$783.7¢
Alperen Sengun2.1% -0.9-1.1$783.7¢
Jalen Duren2.0% -0.1-0.2$983.6¢
Stephon Castle1.9% 0.00.0$983.5¢
Karl-Anthony Towns1.9% -1.3-0.5$1183.5¢
Bam Adebayo1.8% -1.4-1.7$833.3¢
Damian Lillard1.8% 0.0-0.3$1413.2¢
Donovan Clingan1.7% 0.00.0$782.9¢
Jrue Holiday1.6% -2.1-2.1$982.8¢
Scottie Barnes1.1% 0.00.0$781.9¢
Tre Jones1.1% 0.00.0$1031.9¢
Kevin Porter Jr.1.1% 0.00.0$1331.7¢
OG Anunoby0.4% -0.1-2.4$980.3¢
Norman Powell0.4% -0.1-3.6$980.3¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 02:17 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Price history

0%25%50%75%100%10-1310-2511-06
Nikola Jokic

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes the 2026-27 NBA regular season with the highest efficiency (EFF) per game average among qualified players. If the leader is not a listed player, the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes". Efficiency (EFF) is the NBA's box-score efficiency statistic: (points + rebounds + assists + steals + blocks) minus (missed field goals + missed free throws + turnovers), averaged per game as published on NBA.com/stats. To qualify, a player must meet the NBA's minimum requirements for its official 2026-27 regular-season per-game leaderboard (a player who appears in at least 58 regular-season games qualifies), applied exactly as reflected on NBA.com/stats. Only 2026-27 NBA regular-season games count. NBA Cup group-play and knockout games other than the NBA Cup Championship game are regular-season games and count. Statistics from the preseason, the NBA Cup Championship game, the Play-In Tournament, the playoffs and the All-Star Game are excluded. If a player plays for more than one team during the season, his statistics from all teams are combined. In the event of a tie for the highest efficiency (EFF) per game average, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with a higher total efficiency (EFF) across all games played during the 2026-27 NBA regular season. If a tie still persists, each tied player's market will resolve to "No" and the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes". If the 2026-27 NBA regular season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NBA statistics for completed games, with leaderboard qualification applied as the NBA applies it to the shortened season. If the 2026-27 NBA regular season is cancelled, postponed after April 25, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NBA in efficiency (EFF) per game within that timeframe, each listed player's market will resolve to "No" and the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA, including NBA.com/stats; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying Nikola Jokic at 61% risks 61¢ to win 39¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "NBA: 2026-27 Efficiency (EFF) Leader"?
As of November 6, 2026, Nikola Jokic is the favorite at 61.1%, followed by Player A at 50.0%.
When does this market resolve?
The market is scheduled to close on April 26, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?
$16K in total and $138 in the last 24 hours, with about $12K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?
Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.