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Home / Markets / MLB Playoffs: Who Will Hit a Home Run? - Rays vs. Yankees
Resolved market scorecard

MLB Playoffs: Who Will Hit a Home Run? - Rays vs. Yankees: result and scorecard

Resolved Jonathan Aranda. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 90.5%; a week before, –. $2K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:02 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Jonathan Aranda
resolved October 5, 2026

Price 1 day before

90.5%
Market was confident and right

Price 7 days before

–
30 days before: –

Volume

$2K
35 outcomes

MLBSportsyankeesbaseballHome runs

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
Jonathan ArandaWON$390
Ben RiceWON$387
Victor Mesa Jr.WON$111
Ryan ViladeWON$82
Richie PalaciosLOST$88
Cody BellingerLOST$88
Anthony VolpeLOST$88
Jorge MateoLOST$88
Ben WilliamsonLOST$88
Heliot RamosLOST$88
Amed RosarioLOST$83
Aaron JudgeLOST$63
Jazz Chisholm Jr.LOST$20
Spencer JonesLOST$20
Junior CamineroLOST$15
Yandy DíazLOST$15
Liam HicksLOST$15
Cedric MullinsLOST$15
Jonny DeLucaLOST$15
Nick FortesLOST$15
Taylor WallsLOST$15
Carson WilliamsLOST$15
Kenny PiperLOST$15
Chandler SimpsonLOST$15
Nick MadrigalLOST$15
Jadher AreinamoLOST$15
Luis García Jr.LOST$15
Trent GrishamLOST$15
Paul GoldschmidtLOST$15
Ryan McMahonLOST$15
George Lombard Jr.LOST$15
Giancarlo StantonLOST$15
Ali SánchezLOST$15
José CaballeroLOST$10
Austin WellsLOST$10

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%10-0310-0510-08
Jonathan ArandaBen RiceVictor Mesa Jr.Ryan Vilade
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 91% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player hits at least one home run in any game of the 2026 MLB Playoffs American League Division Series between the Tampa Bay Rays and New York Yankees. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only home runs credited to the listed player in the official box score will count. Inside-the-park home runs count toward this market. All innings of each game, including extra innings, will be considered. A game that is postponed or suspended will count once it has been completed. Official scoring changes announced by MLB within 24 hours of the end of the relevant game will be considered, but later changes will not. If the series is not completed by October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, for any reason, including cancellation of the 2026 MLB Playoffs, this market will resolve based on games of the series completed by that time. A home run hit in a game that has been suspended and not completed by that time will not count. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB, including official box scores; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

How did "MLB Playoffs: Who Will Hit a Home Run? - Rays vs. Yankees" resolve?
It resolved Jonathan Aranda around October 12, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 90.5% one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$2K across 35 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.