MLB: Player to Hit 40+ Home Runs: result and scorecard
Resolved Matt Olson. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 72.5%; a week before, 74.0%. $61K traded in total.
Result
Price 1 day before
Price 7 days before
Volume
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| Matt Olson | WON |
| Yordan Alvarez | WON |
| Junior Caminero | WON |
| Hunter Goodman | WON |
| Kyle Schwarber | WON |
| Pete Alonso | WON |
| Ben Rice | WON |
| Dillon Dingler | LOST |
| Shea Langeliers | LOST |
| Byron Buxton | LOST |
| Aaron Judge | LOST |
| James Wood | LOST |
| Shohei Ohtani | LOST |
| Brandon Lowe | LOST |
| CJ Abrams | LOST |
| Colson Montgomery | LOST |
| Jordan Walker | LOST |
| Mike Trout | LOST |
| Ketel Marte | LOST |
| Bryce Harper | LOST |
| Kazuma Okamoto | LOST |
| Nick Kurtz | LOST |
| Wilson Contreras | LOST |
| Juan Soto | LOST |
| Manny Machado | LOST |
| Christian Walker | LOST |
| Munetaka Murakami | LOST |
| Miguel Vargas | LOST |
| Will Andy Pages hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? | LOST |
| Will Dansby Swanson hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? | LOST |
Price history to resolution
Scorecard
Resolution rules
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player hits 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear if the listed player recorded a 40 or more home runs during 2026 MLB regular season within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "MLB: Player to Hit 40+ Home Runs" resolve?
- It resolved Matt Olson around October 11, 2026.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 72.5% one day before close, 74.0% one week before and 78.0% one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $61K across 30 outcomes.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.