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Home / Markets / Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026?
Resolved market scorecard

Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026?: result and scorecard

Resolved 2.0-2.5%. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 41.8%; a week before, 12.6%. $42K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:02 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

2.0-2.5%
resolved July 30, 2026

Price 1 day before

41.8%
Market was a coin flip

Price 7 days before

12.6%
30 days before: 4.0%

Volume

$42K
8 outcomes

Macro IndicatorsmacroMexicoGDPEconomy

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
2.0-2.5%WON$5K
-0.5-0.0%LOST$10K
2.5%+LOST$9K
<-0.5%LOST$5K
1.0-1.5%LOST$5K
1.5-2.0%LOST$3K
0.0-0.5%LOST$3K
0.5-1.0%LOST$2K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%05-0506-1707-30
2.0-2.5%-0.5-0.0%2.5%+<-0.5%
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 42% the day before is getting it wrong in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for release on July 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/ If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026?" resolve?
It resolved 2.0-2.5% around July 30, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 41.8% one day before close, 12.6% one week before and 4.0% one month before.
How much was traded?
$42K across 8 outcomes.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.